Comments on: How much money will my software make (and what has that got to do with aliens)? http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/ Successful software requires more than just good programming. Mon, 12 May 2008 01:54:17 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=MU By: Ian Turner http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10276 Ian Turner Fri, 25 Apr 2008 11:43:50 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10276 I've been playing around with the logisitic function (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function) to try and predict hits to my blog recently and so far it's actually prooved to be surprisingly effect. It is a rather large simplification but the equation is easy to work with and seems to give a good approximation of future number of hits provided the environment you are working in stays the same. p.s. I've never thought of the Gungans as an intelligent race. I’ve been playing around with the logisitic function (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function) to try and predict hits to my blog recently and so far it’s actually prooved to be surprisingly effect. It is a rather large simplification but the equation is easy to work with and seems to give a good approximation of future number of hits provided the environment you are working in stays the same.

p.s. I’ve never thought of the Gungans as an intelligent race.

]]> By: Andy Brice http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10226 Andy Brice Fri, 11 Apr 2008 14:19:23 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10226 >Naboo hosted 2 such civilisations A factor of 2 error is likely to be lost in the noise. ;0) Ps/ You forgot mice (ref: The Hitchhiker Guide to the Galaxy)! >Naboo hosted 2 such civilisations

A factor of 2 error is likely to be lost in the noise. ;0)

Ps/ You forgot mice (ref: The Hitchhiker Guide to the Galaxy)!

]]> By: TheBoyKen http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10225 TheBoyKen Fri, 11 Apr 2008 14:07:18 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10225 Doesn't Drake's equation assume that there can only be one alien civilisation (worth communicating with) per planet? For instance, anyone who has watched the newer Star Wars films will know that Naboo hosted 2 such civilisations (ignoring the fish). Similarly Earth might be said to host humans (if we're intelligent), dolphins, and of course dogs. Just a thought... Doesn’t Drake’s equation assume that there can only be one alien civilisation (worth communicating with) per planet?

For instance, anyone who has watched the newer Star Wars films will know that Naboo hosted 2 such civilisations (ignoring the fish). Similarly Earth might be said to host humans (if we’re intelligent), dolphins, and of course dogs.

Just a thought…

]]> By: davidpaulrobinson http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-16 davidpaulrobinson Sat, 14 Apr 2007 18:39:43 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-16 Shudder.... math..... Shudder…. math…..

]]> By: Bob Walsh http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10 Bob Walsh Mon, 09 Apr 2007 10:54:31 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-10 Excellent post Andy! Excellent post Andy!

]]> By: weekly linkdump « блог разработчиков « developers.org.ua http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-9 weekly linkdump « блог разработчиков « developers.org.ua Fri, 06 Apr 2007 06:44:29 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-9 [...] How much money will my software make — точная формула расчета прибыли с разработки и продажи ПО. Только вот коэффициенты неизвестны. [...] [...] How much money will my software make — точная формула расчета прибыли с разработки и продажи ПО. Только вот коэффициенты неизвестны. [...]

]]> By: Andrey Butov http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-8 Andrey Butov Thu, 05 Apr 2007 18:07:02 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-8 89% of the unique visitors download the trial as averaged over the last 3 months. It's a unique product for its market. 89% of the unique visitors download the trial as averaged over the last 3 months. It’s a unique product for its market.

]]> By: successfulsoftware http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-7 successfulsoftware Thu, 05 Apr 2007 17:52:07 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-7 Andrey, 0.89 (=89%) or 0.89% of your unique site vistors download the trial? If its 89% thats very impressive. Andrey,

0.89 (=89%) or 0.89% of your unique site vistors download the trial? If its 89% thats very impressive.

]]> By: Andrey Butov http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-6 Andrey Butov Thu, 05 Apr 2007 17:05:51 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-6 And Andy comes out of the gate running strong... What? No "niche market" quotient? OK. I'll play: P = 49.95, N = 5000, Ft = 0.89, Fb = not telling -- fairly accurate (but more interesting than anything else) -- had to adjust P to factor in fluctuating unit price due to resellers and publishers. - Cheers! And Andy comes out of the gate running strong…

What? No “niche market” quotient?

OK. I’ll play: P = 49.95, N = 5000, Ft = 0.89, Fb = not telling — fairly accurate (but more interesting than anything else) — had to adjust P to factor in fluctuating unit price due to resellers and publishers.

- Cheers!

]]> By: Matt Breckon http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-5 Matt Breckon Thu, 05 Apr 2007 16:17:31 +0000 http://successfulsoftware.net/2007/04/03/how-much-money-will-my-software-make-and-what-has-that-got-to-do-with-aliens/#comment-5 Nice to see you've started a blog Andy - you've certainly got a lot of relevant and real experience for the MicroISV crowd. Good luck. Nice to see you’ve started a blog Andy - you’ve certainly got a lot of relevant and real experience for the MicroISV crowd. Good luck.

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